Probabilities can be misleading

Probabilities can be misleading

Unlikely and rare events sometimes occur. When they do, that does not make them more likely.

A few weeks back, I had a typo in one of my blog posts. Trish said she was really surprised because it was so unusual. A bit frustrated that I had not caught my mistake before it published, I responded tartly, “It is unusual.” (There was no need for me to take it personally, we all make mistakes.)

Even if I’m 99% accurate, I will likely have a typo every few months. It’s not that simple though; probabilities are estimates. I could have 2 typos in a week and no typos for 7 months and still be 99%. The key to maintaining high quality is to ignore probability and be diligent every day.

How does your real world experience compare to what you expect?

Hopefully, my questions cause you to reflect on your own thinking, relationships or choices. Maybe I even inspire you to make positive changes.

If you want to comment publicly, click on the photo of the post to get to the comment page. Send private comments to info@simplybettercoaching.com

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